POLL: Utahns Are Not Fans of the Current or Former President

Utahns are not fans of the current or former President
Romney, Lee, and Cox are Above Water

Toplines and Crosstabs can be found here 

PHOENIX (August 27th, 2021)- Majorities of Utah voters view both President Biden and Former President Trump unfavorably, according to a new survey conducted by OH Predictive Insights (OHPI). The survey also found that Governor Spencer Cox was the most popular elected official of the names that were tested, with a higher favorability rating than either of the states’ two Republican senators – Mitt Romney and Mike Lee.

This data was taken from OHPI’s inaugural Utah Public Opinion Pulse (UTPOP) – a statewide survey of Utah residents that provides regular updates on the moods, perceptions, and opinions of Utahns on hot topics facing the state. This UTPOP was conducted August 2nd – August 8th, 2021 and surveyed 680 registered voters in the state, giving the survey a margin of error of +/- 3.76%.

“In a state where half of all voters are registered Republicans, it should be very difficult for a Republican to be so disliked,” said OHPI Chief of Research Mike Noble. “However, with President Trump’s unique baggage, it is not surprising.”

Governor Cox leads the pack of politicians in Utah with 66% of voters holding a favorable view of the Governor. Mitt Romney, Mike Lee, and Donald Trump are all statistically tied for second place, hovering between the 49% and 46% marks. Joe Biden brings up the rear with 42% of Utah voters viewing the current President favorably.

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When it comes to the partisan divide in Utah, Governor Cox appears to be managing the different parties – as well as the factions within his own party – very well. Two-thirds (66%) of all Utah voters hold a favorable view of Cox, including 80% of Republicans, half (55%) of Independents, and even 42% of Democrats.

Cox’s fellow Republicans – Romney, Lee, and Trump – all have statistically equivalent (ranging from 46% to 49%) favorable ratings among the Utah electorate; however, their bases of support are drastically different.

Romney’s support is evenly distributed among Republicans (49% of whom have a favorable opinion of him), Independents (47%), and Democrats (54%). On the other hand, Utah’s senior US Senator, Mike Lee, draws support primarily from Republicans (65% of whom have a favorable opinion of Lee), and is less reliant on cross-party support from Independents (34%), or Democrats (18%). Donald Trump follows a similar pattern to Lee, 68% of Republicans view the former president favorably, in addition to one-third (31%) of Independents, and only 8% of Democrats.

Turning away from politicians and towards Utah voters’ opinion of institutions themselves, the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints is far and away the most popular organization in the poll. More than half (57%) of Utah voters have a favorable view of the Church – including 89% of Church members, themselves. Following behind the Mormon Church is the Republican Party with a 48% favorability rating among all Utah voters and a 75% rating among members of the GOP. The Democratic Party comes in third among Utah voters and was the only organization not to have a positive net favorability rating statewide. Only one-third (32%) of voters had a favorable view of the party, including 83% of Democrats.

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Methodology:This poll was conducted as an online opt-in panel survey. The survey was completed byOH Predictive Insightsfrom August 2nd to August 8th, 2021, from a Utah Statewide Registered Voter sample. The sample demographics were weighted to accurately reflect gender, region, age, party affiliation, ethnicity, and education. The sample size was 680 completed surveys, with a MoE of ± 3.76%. Numbers may not equal 100% due to rounding. 

Media Contacts:  

Haylye Plaster, OH Predictive Insights,h.plaster@ohpredictive.com, (602) 687-3034  

AboutOH Predictive Insights: As a non-partisan market research, predictive analytics, and public opinion polling firm, Arizona-based OH Predictive Insightsprovides accurate polling, focus groups, data analytics, and advanced targeted marketing to political and non-political clients alike. With leading professionals in the advertising, communication, polling, and political arenas, OH Predictive Insights serves political and non-political clients looking to improve their footing with key stakeholders and consumers. For more information, please call 480-313-1837 or submit a request online at OHPredictive.com.  

About the UTPOP: The Utah Public Opinion Pulse (UTPOP) survey is a statewide survey of a base sample of 800 – 1,000 general population state residents (18+ YO) with a statistically significant sample size of registered and likely voters included. Deploying surveys on a quarterly basis, we are able to gauge and keep an accurate and consistent pulse on the perceptions, opinions, and future decisions of state residents on a number of relevant issues and pressing topics for corporate and political insights. With statewide Public Opinion Pulses also conducted in Nevada and Arizona in addition to Utah, our surveys allow data-seekers to look through the 3 unique lenses of general population residents, registered voters, and likely voters in each state for insights most relevant to them. To learn more about our statewide public opinion surveys and for information on how to purchase customized questions to add to our surveys, click here.